All-time · All positions

Win Probability Added

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A player is credited for what he scores and debited as his projection burns off unrealised, each priced by how much the matchup actually hung on it. So this measures performance against expectation under pressure rather than raw production: a quiet week in a blowout barely registers, while a touchdown with the matchup on the line can be worth most of a win. One full win = 100 points of win probability.

Career leaders

min 20 weeks
# Player Wk Pts vs Proj Play Decay Wins Added Best Wk
1 QB Russell Wilson 152 2831 +437 +37.71 −29.78 +7.93 +76.2
2 K Justin Tucker 195 1858 +453 +22.04 −16.62 +5.42 +90.7
3 QB Aaron Rodgers 187 3918 +314 +46.04 −40.74 +5.31 +59.5
4 RB Christian McCaffrey 101 1884 +409 +21.26 −16.00 +5.26 +44.1
5 WR Odell Beckham Jr. 82 994 +259 +13.41 −8.24 +5.17 +63.6
6 RB Todd Gurley II 80 1275 +376 +14.23 −9.20 +5.03 +68.8
7 DST Bears D/ST 196 2152 +302 +23.09 −18.48 +4.62 +94.1
8 RB Derrick Henry 116 1867 +250 +21.70 −17.13 +4.57 +64.8
9 WR Antonio Brown 110 1454 +322 +16.05 −11.50 +4.55 +44.2
10 WR Mike Evans 159 1827 +371 +21.15 −16.62 +4.54 +60.4
11 QB Cam Newton 115 2281 +301 +28.43 −24.00 +4.43 +53.6
12 RB Le'Veon Bell 77 1157 +252 +14.54 −10.28 +4.25 +62.8
13 K Matt Bryant 120 1003 +305 +10.76 −6.60 +4.16 +30.9
14 DST Steelers D/ST 249 2447 +216 +26.96 −22.92 +4.04 +53.7
15 K Dan Bailey 111 873 +216 +12.78 −8.87 +3.92 +170.0
16 WR Davante Adams 144 1763 +321 +19.92 −16.01 +3.92 +66.3
17 K Stephen Hauschka 73 592 +288 +6.97 −3.11 +3.86 +31.2
18 WR Tyreek Hill 129 1705 +294 +19.72 −16.01 +3.71 +123.6
19 RB Melvin Gordon 89 1104 +283 +13.02 −9.35 +3.67 +42.5
20 DST Eagles D/ST 204 2014 +113 +24.55 −21.03 +3.52 +72.2
21 RB Mark Ingram II 91 1104 +293 +12.98 −9.54 +3.44 +60.9
22 TE Travis Kelce 181 1845 +258 +22.17 −18.87 +3.30 +87.0
23 QB Patrick Mahomes 122 2769 +125 +33.85 −30.68 +3.17 +68.7
24 QB Blake Bortles 37 634 +268 +7.74 −4.59 +3.15 +29.7
25 K Chandler Catanzaro 36 248 +165 +4.33 −1.19 +3.14 +90.2
26 RB Kareem Hunt 70 940 +267 +11.03 −7.89 +3.14 +73.1
27 WR Doug Baldwin 50 452 +113 +6.69 −3.57 +3.12 +58.0
28 QB Andrew Luck 78 1537 +312 +16.57 −13.47 +3.10 +32.7
29 K Stephen Gostkowski 168 1518 +322 +16.73 −13.66 +3.07 +49.9
30 WR Julio Jones 127 1479 +196 +17.12 −14.10 +3.02 +66.4
31 RB LeSean McCoy 130 1737 +176 +21.33 −18.31 +3.02 +48.5
32 WR DeAndre Hopkins 155 1637 +266 +18.19 −15.17 +3.01 +27.9
33 QB Kirk Cousins 111 1991 +327 +23.48 −20.48 +3.00 +38.9
34 DST Bills D/ST 182 1756 +87 +19.37 −16.37 +3.00 +80.0
35 QB Deshaun Watson 54 1106 +233 +12.93 −9.94 +2.99 +41.8
36 WR Steve Smith Sr. 121 1102 +309 +11.33 −8.41 +2.93 +29.9
37 DST Vikings D/ST 178 1779 +237 +19.21 −16.31 +2.90 +88.1
38 DST Seahawks D/ST 179 1844 +267 +18.98 −16.09 +2.88 +37.5
39 DST Jets D/ST 147 1337 +129 +15.33 −12.57 +2.75 +74.0
40 QB Dak Prescott 100 1947 +113 +24.33 −21.65 +2.69 +44.0
41 WR Adam Thielen 95 979 +154 +11.96 −9.30 +2.66 +48.9
42 RB Latavius Murray 43 506 +151 +6.62 −3.99 +2.63 +93.7
43 QB Carson Wentz 49 849 +162 +10.97 −8.35 +2.62 +49.1
44 RB David Johnson 63 869 +209 +9.75 −7.16 +2.59 +55.7
45 K Wil Lutz 103 894 +187 +10.99 −8.40 +2.59 +51.7
46 K Graham Gano 78 563 +240 +6.53 −3.96 +2.57 +20.6
47 RB DeMarco Murray 83 1108 +198 +12.19 −9.67 +2.52 +48.3
48 K Harrison Butker 124 1102 +39 +13.92 −11.40 +2.52 +74.6
49 RB Joe Mixon 102 1349 +124 +16.12 −13.69 +2.43 +66.2
50 TE Rob Gronkowski 114 1260 +157 +13.99 −11.56 +2.43 +51.4